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TOPIC: Sell in May and Go Away

Sell in May and Go Away 29 Apr 2015 09:52 #1

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I Googled "Sell in May and Go Away"

Jewgle prompted me with
Sell in May and Go Away 2015

OK, took the bait, 3 stories came up to the top...
Sell in May and go away? 3 charts show that's dumb

money.cnn.com/2015/04/28/investing/sell-in-may-go-away-stocks/

BY YUVAL ROSENBERG,
The Fiscal Times
April 27, 2015
The old stock market adage recommends to “sell in May and go away,” but a review of historical data suggests that investors preparing to heed that advice and dump their holdings within a matter of days may be leaving money on the table.

In a new research note, Sam Stovall, the U.S. equity strategist at S&P Capital IQ, says that while the market has indeed shown some seasonal trends over time, there may be a wiser path than walking away from stocks altogether: “History shows (for it never guarantees) that an investor was better off rotating into defensive sectors of the market during this seasonally soft six month period than they were by either holding the broader benchmark or leaving the equity market altogether.”

In other words, as Stovall puts it, it’s better to rotate than retreat.

- See more at: www.thefiscaltimes.com/2015/04/27/Sell-May-and-Go-Away-There-s-Smarter-Play#sthash.WdLn6WmT.dpuf

and
Wall Street is littered with market lore, and this is the time of year when the pros roll out the "sell in May and go away" adage. This old saying actually holds water, it turns out. Historically, U.S. stocks tend to underperform from May through October, while the market chalks up the best gains from November through April.

For history buffs, the origins of this saying stem from the British, who said, "sell in May and go away, come back on St. Leger day," which refers to their horse racing season.
For most long-term investors, the buy-and-hold approach is still the recommended strategy, as proper diversification in your portfolio can help you weather the market’s ups and downs. But more active investors looking to capitalize on the seasonal tendency may consider moving part of their portfolios to cash. "If an investor has an engineer-like mentality, focused strictly on the numbers and doesn't get frazzled, maybe this is the year for part of the portfolio to go to the sidelines," Weiner says. Instead of shifting completely out of stocks, as the old saying dictates, "a more successful strategy is partially in and partially out," he adds.

money.usnews.com/money/personal-finance/mutual-funds/articles/2015/04/28/should-you-sell-stocks-in-may-and-go-away

What none of the above articles mention is the significance of the year.

2001, 2008, what is the next number in the sequence?

Nor do they mention that margin debt is at a historic high....
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"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
Last Edit: 29 Apr 2015 09:54 by rodin.
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Sell in May and Go Away 07 May 2015 12:43 #2

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The UK is following global markets lower, as the country votes in what is proving to be a very close general election.

www.theguardian.com/business/marketforceslive/2015/may/07/ftse-100-falters-amid-global-market-falls-and-election-jitters
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Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
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Sell in May and Go Away 09 May 2015 20:49 #3

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CBS Marketwatch sees a crash, but not until 2016....
Opinion: Countdown to the stock-market Crash of 2016 is ticking louder

www.marketwatch.com/story/countdown-to-the-stock-market-crash-of-2016-is-ticking-louder-2015-05-08

..so no reason to panic yet... :ponda:
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"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
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Sell in May and Go Away 14 May 2015 07:31 #4

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rodin wrote:
The UK is following global markets lower, as the country votes in what is proving to be a very close general election.

www.theguardian.com/business/marketforceslive/2015/may/07/ftse-100-falters-amid-global-market-falls-and-election-jitters

You have to wonder when an outright Tory win does not put a couple hundred onto the FTSE...
The FTSE was broadly flat but outperformed Europe on Wednesday after weak U.S. retail data erased gains on the back of the Bank of England saying it will raise rates in about a year's time.

uk.reuters.com/article/2015/05/13/uk-markets-stocks-ftse-idUKKBN0NY0QE20150513
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

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All establishment lies pass through three stages
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"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
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Sell in May and Go Away 15 May 2015 19:15 #5

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The DOW monthly chart Technical Analysis



Points to note

1) Last 6 years rise on dropping volume (negative outlook)

2) MACD Oversold (at high) (negative outlook)

3) RSI showing profound negative divergence... (negative outlook)
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

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All establishment lies pass through three stages
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Second, they are exposed by diligent research
Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
Last Edit: 15 May 2015 19:23 by rodin.
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Sell in May and Go Away 18 Jun 2015 06:51 #6

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So far FTSE has closed every day in June below the lowest close in May. Lowest in May was above 6880. Yesterday was 6680.
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

The media isn't there to cover the news
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All establishment lies pass through three stages
First, they are accepted as being self evident
Second, they are exposed by diligent research
Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
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Sell in May and Go Away 18 Jun 2015 07:03 #7

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He who is without oil shall throw the first rod.
- Compressions 13.3:1
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Sell in May and Go Away 29 Jun 2015 06:59 #8

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Hang Seng and Nikkei also falling...

edit

Real Time FTSE

finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EFTSE#{"range":"3mo","allowChartStacking":true}

edit

ps making predictions is very hard, especially about the future....

just sayin...
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Second, they are exposed by diligent research
Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
Last Edit: 29 Jun 2015 19:12 by rodin.
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Sell in May and Go Away 13 Aug 2015 14:31 #9

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I would say FTSE ready for next leg down.... JMHO lol
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

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All establishment lies pass through three stages
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Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
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Sell in May and Go Away 13 Aug 2015 14:39 #10

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rodin wrote:
ps making predictions is very hard, especially about the future....

just sayin...

As Tony Soprano once said (and i may be paraphrasing but its ballpark)

"This shit aint for us, were not one of them"

When wife carmela wanted to diversify their investments (into the markets)

( David Chase would go as far as he could get away with :hahano: )

He who is without oil shall throw the first rod.
- Compressions 13.3:1
Last Edit: 13 Aug 2015 14:40 by novum.
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Sell in May and Go Away 19 Aug 2015 22:28 #11

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New post May low and closed on the low. IMHO the PPT are buying the DOW until they are ready to let/force the mega crash, FTSE straining @ leash to get lower...

Jade Helm timetable might be relevant...
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

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All establishment lies pass through three stages
First, they are accepted as being self evident
Second, they are exposed by diligent research
Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
Last Edit: 19 Aug 2015 22:28 by rodin.
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Sell in May and Go Away 20 Aug 2015 22:44 #12

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rodin wrote:
The DOW monthly chart Technical Analysis



Points to note

1) Last 6 years rise on dropping volume (negative outlook)

2) MACD Oversold (at high) (negative outlook)

3) RSI showing profound negative divergence... (negative outlook)

Closed below 17000 today, year low

Just getting started MHO

edit

Greece, and false flag blamed on Iran point to watch
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

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"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
Last Edit: 20 Aug 2015 22:46 by rodin.
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Sell in May and Go Away 20 Aug 2015 23:52 #13

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Sell in May and Go Away 21 Aug 2015 12:30 #14

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FTSE @ lowest for the year now....
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

The media isn't there to cover the news
It's there to cover the news up

All establishment lies pass through three stages
First, they are accepted as being self evident
Second, they are exposed by diligent research
Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
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Sell in May and Go Away 21 Aug 2015 20:07 #15

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Re: #1 - #6

rodin wrote:
I see what you did there... I think....

Another 5 in a row :cool:

6 :)
"The truth must be repeated over and over again,
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where, in fact, error prevails, and is quite easy in the
feeling that it has a decided majority on its side."

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Sell in May and Go Away 21 Aug 2015 20:13 #16

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To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

The media isn't there to cover the news
It's there to cover the news up

All establishment lies pass through three stages
First, they are accepted as being self evident
Second, they are exposed by diligent research
Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
Last Edit: 22 Aug 2015 20:22 by rodin.
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Sell in May and Go Away 24 Aug 2015 09:14 #17

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edit

ps would not be too surprised if FTSE bounces off 6000 area up to 6200, taking a breather.

I do not play markets now on principle since finding out about the rigging by you know whos, but if I had shorted I would be taking profits now and not waiting for further falls....
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

The media isn't there to cover the news
It's there to cover the news up

All establishment lies pass through three stages
First, they are accepted as being self evident
Second, they are exposed by diligent research
Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
Last Edit: 24 Aug 2015 09:34 by rodin.
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Sell in May and Go Away 24 Aug 2015 09:32 #18

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He who is without oil shall throw the first rod.
- Compressions 13.3:1
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Sell in May and Go Away 24 Aug 2015 21:58 #19

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^^^ LOL -

yep DOW opened nearly 1100 down not sure where it closed but had regain 800 last time I looked.
couldn't bring myself to do any options ( buy puts ) a couple weeks back -- can't handle the stress :hahano:
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Sell in May and Go Away 27 Aug 2015 16:18 #20

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FTSE at 6200 just sayin...
To understand who rules over you look to whom you tube can't criticise

The media isn't there to cover the news
It's there to cover the news up

All establishment lies pass through three stages
First, they are accepted as being self evident
Second, they are exposed by diligent research
Third, they are enforced

"Communism is the bloodiest, most difficult and the most terrible way from capitalism to capitalism" from Under the Sign of the Scorpion by Juri Lina
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